除了肺癌筛查,癌症医典也包含肺癌预防、小细胞肺癌的治疗、非小细胞肺癌的治疗以及与癌症筛查和预防相关研究证据等级等内容。
一项大型随机试验表明,筛查人群年龄在55-74岁,且吸烟史大于等于30包年,或曾经吸烟但戒烟时间在15年内者,肺癌死亡率降低20%(95%可信区间[CI],6.8-26.7;P=0.004),全死因死亡率降低6.7%(95%可信区间,1.2-13.6;P=0.02)。
这项研究最新数据表明,肺癌死亡率约降低16%(95%CI,5-25)。
影响程度:肺癌死亡专率相对降低16%。
基于确凿的证据,近96%的低剂量螺旋CT筛查结果阳性者最终并没有诊断为肺癌。
假阳性检查结果可能导致不必要的侵入性诊断检查。
影响程度: 根据一项大型随机试验的结果,发现每轮筛查的假阳性率平均为23.3%。所有假阳性筛查结果中,共有0.06%的人在对阳性筛查结果进行有创性诊断检查后引起重大并发症。经过三轮筛查,1.8%的未患肺癌的受试者在筛查结果呈阳性后进行了侵入性检查。
基于一般证据,部分通过低剂量螺旋CT筛查发现的可疑肺癌患者属于过度诊断。在一项随机试验中过度诊断的程度为18%,在另一项随机试验中为67%。这种癌症筛查结果导致了不必要的检查程序,也导致了不必要的治疗。这种过度诊断引起的诊疗危害在长期吸烟和/或重度吸烟者中最常见,因为吸烟相关的合并症增加了过度诊断的风险。
影响程度: 18%至67%,取决于筛查人群的特征和采用的筛查方案。
基于确凿的证据,胸部X线和/或痰细胞学筛查并不能降低一般人群或曾经吸烟者人群的肺癌死亡率。
影响程度: N/A。
基于确凿的证据,至少95%以上胸部X线筛查阳性者不能确诊为肺癌。假阳性检查导致不必要的侵入性诊断检查。
基于确凿的证据,通过胸部X光和/或痰细胞学检查进行筛查发现的可疑肺癌中,存在部分且不可忽略比例的过度诊断;过度诊断的程度在5%到25%之间。这些可疑癌症导致不必要的诊断检查,也导致不必要的后续治疗。这种过度诊断引起的诊疗危害在长期吸烟和/或重度吸烟者中最常见,因为吸烟相关的合并症增加了过度诊断的风险。
影响程度: 5%至25%,取决于筛查人群的特征和采用的筛查方案。
Separate PDQ summaries on Lung Cancer Prevention, Small Cell Lung Cancer Treatment, Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Treatment, and Levels of Evidence for Cancer Screening and Prevention Studies are also available.
One large randomized trial reported that screening persons aged 55 to 74 years who have cigarette smoking histories of 30 or more pack-years and who, if they are former smokers, have quit within the last 15 years reduces lung cancer mortality by 20% (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.8–26.7; P = .004) and all-cause mortality by 6.7% (95% CI, 1.2–13.6; P = .02).
An updated analysis showed that the estimated reduction in lung cancer mortality was 16% (95% CI, 5–25).
Magnitude of Effect: 16% relative reduction in lung cancer–specific mortality.
Based on solid evidence, approximately 96% of all positive, low-dose helical computed tomography screening exams do not result in a lung cancer diagnosis.
False-positive exams may result in unnecessary invasive diagnostic procedures.
Magnitude of Effect: Based on the findings from a large randomized trial, the average false-positive rate per screening round was 23.3%. A total of 0.06% of all false-positive screening results led to a major complication after an invasive procedure performed as diagnostic follow-up to the positive screening result. Over three screening rounds, 1.8% of participants who did not have lung cancer had an invasive procedure following a positive screening result.
Based on fair evidence, some lung cancers detected by low-dose helical computed tomography screening appear to represent overdiagnosed cancer. The magnitude of overdiagnosis was 18% in one randomized trial and 67% in another randomized trial. These cancers result in unnecessary diagnostic procedures and also lead to unnecessary treatment. Harms of diagnostic procedures and treatment occur most frequently among long-term and/or heavy smokers because of smoking-associated comorbidities that increase risk propagation.
Magnitude of Effect: 18% to 67%, depending on characteristics of screened population and screening regimen.
Based on solid evidence, screening with chest x-ray and/or sputum cytology does not reduce mortality from lung cancer in the general population or in ever-smokers.
Magnitude of Effect: N/A.
Based on solid evidence, at least 95% of all positive chest x-ray screening exams do not result in a lung cancer diagnosis. False-positive exams result in unnecessary invasive diagnostic procedures.
Based on solid evidence, a modest but non-negligible percentage of lung cancers detected by screening chest x-ray and/or sputum cytology appear to represent overdiagnosed cancer; the magnitude of overdiagnosis appears to be between 5% and 25%. These cancers result in unnecessary diagnostic procedures and also lead to unnecessary treatment. Harms of diagnostic procedures and treatment occur most frequently among long-term and/or heavy smokers because of smoking-associated comorbidities that increase risk propagation.
Magnitude of Effect: Between 5% and 25%, depending on characteristics of screened population and screening regimen.
肺癌是美国第三大常见的非皮肤癌症,也是导致男性和女性癌症死亡的主要原因。据估计,仅2019年,约116440名男性和111710名女性被诊断为肺癌,约76650名男性和66020名女性死于肺癌。过去几十年里,男女性肺癌死亡率均呈现迅速上升趋势,从1991年开始,男性的死亡率持续下降。从2011年到2015年,男性的死亡率每年下降约3%,女性的死亡率每年下降1.5%。
肺癌是中国第一大常见癌症,也是导致男性和女性癌症死亡的首要原因。据估计,2015年,中国约52.0万名男性和26.7万名女性被诊断为肺癌,约43.3万名男性和19.7万名女性死于肺癌。过去十几年来,中国男女性肺癌的死亡率均呈现上升趋势,2003~2007年男女性肺癌死亡率分别为29.74/10万、13.02/10万,2015年男女性肺癌死亡率分别为40.15/10万,16.77/10万。
肺癌(与许多其他癌症一样)最主要的危险因素是吸烟。
流行病学和临床前的动物实验数据已明确吸烟是肺癌的主要危险因素。上世纪六十年代,英国和美国的国家级报告使吸烟这一癌症风险因素成为公众关注的焦点,从那时起这种因果关系就得到了广泛的认可。
由吸烟引起的男性和女性肺癌百分比分别约为90%和78%。
有关肺癌风险相关因素的完整描述,请参阅PDQ中肺癌预防部分以获取更多信息。
人们一直努力通过采用包括低剂量螺旋计算机断层扫描(LDCT)在内的新技术来提高肺癌筛查水平。
在早期肺癌行动方案(ELCAP)中,LDCT被证实比胸部X线更灵敏。
LDCT检出的I期肺癌患者约是胸部X线检出的六倍,而且这些肿瘤直径大多不超过1cm。
一项系统分析
总结了1993年至2004年间开展的13项通过LDCT筛查的观察性研究,研究对象从60到5,201名。一些日本的研究纳入了非吸烟者,但其他的研究仅限于当前吸烟者或曾经吸烟者。结节检出率在3%至51%之间,可能归因于以下几个因素:
总体而言,约有1.1%到4.7%的参加筛查者被诊断为肺癌;其中多数为早期患者。
随着美国国家肺癌筛查试验(NLST)的完成,现在有充足的证据表明,LDCT筛查可以降低那些吸烟在30包年或以上者,以及曾经吸烟但戒烟时间少于15年者的肺癌死亡风险。NLST试验包括全美33个中心。受试者年龄在55岁至74岁之间,并符合以下条件,有30包年或以上吸烟史,或曾经吸烟但戒烟15年内。该试验共入选53,454人,其中26,722人随机分配到LDCT筛查组,26,732人随机分配到胸部X线筛查组。LDCT发现的任何直径不小于4mm的非钙化性结节,以及胸部X线发现的任何非钙化性结节或肿块均定义为阳性。但是,如果发现的非钙化性结节在三次检查中大小稳定,放射科医生可以将最终筛查结果定为阴性。LDCT筛查组阳性率明显高于X线筛查组(第1轮,27.3%对9.2%;第2轮,27.9%对6.2%;第3轮,16.8%对5.0%)。总体而言,LDCT筛查者中39.1%和X线筛查者中16.0%的人至少有一个阳性结果。筛查阳性者中,LDCT组假阳性率为96.4%,X线组假阳性率为94.5%。三轮结果一致。
LDCT对肺癌筛查的两种替代获益指标的一篇综述表明,I期肺癌的比例或I期肺癌特异性生存率与4年肺癌死亡率之间没有明显的关系。
LDCT筛查组,筛查阳性者中有649例确诊为癌症,筛查阴性者中有44例确诊为癌症,错过筛查或在筛查后接受诊断者中有367例确认为癌症。在X线筛查组,筛查阳性者中有279例确诊为癌症,筛查阴性者中有137例确诊为癌症,错过筛查或在完成筛查后接受诊断的受试者中有525例确诊为癌症。LDCT组有356例死于肺癌,胸部X线组有443例死于肺癌,LDCT筛查可使肺癌死亡率降低20%(95%可信区间[CI],6.8%-26.7%)。
这项研究最新数据表明,肺癌死亡率约降低16%(95%CI,5-25)。
总体上,人群死亡率降低了6.7%(95%CI,1.2%-13.6%)。 用LDCT筛查减少1例肺癌死亡需要筛查320人。
自NLST结果发表以来,人们更加了解到,哪些人群从LDCT肺癌筛查中获益最大。
一组研究人员开发了一项个体风险模型,用于评估哪些人可能从筛查中获益。该模型增加了NLST中未用作纳入标准的其他因素,如慢性阻塞性肺疾病史,肺癌个人史或家族史以及更详细的吸烟史。与NLST纳入标准相比,将有更多人符合纳入标准进行筛查,减少漏诊。
另一组研究人员对NLST数据进行了重新分析,计算了每位患者发生肺癌的风险,并估计了每位患者的肺癌死亡率。
之后,研究者根据风险将NLST参与者分为五组。减少1例肺癌死亡,在低危组需筛查5276人;在高危组需要筛查161人。此外,假阳性人数从最低五分位风险组的1648人减少到高风险组的65人。因筛查降低的死亡率中,三个最高五分位风险组占88%,而最低五分位风险组仅占1%。这些研究说明,在确定筛查最大受益人群方面仍可提高,可以减少假阳性人数,并减少评估相关不良事件的潜在危害。计算个体风险的另一个好处是将评估结果纳入决策程序,以便患者能够决定是否进行筛查。
然而,最近对十个用于预测肺癌发生或肺癌死亡风险的模型比较后发现,其中四个模型在合理分类上有良好效度,但在识别曾经吸烟者患肺癌的风险时,这些模型均不优于其他模型。还需要做更多的工作来解决模型的不足。
其他LDCT的随机临床试验(RCT)目前在一些国家正在进行或已经完成。
其中规模最大的RCT试验是荷兰-比利时随机肺癌筛查试验(或称NELSON试验)。
本研究与NLST的不同之处在于,对照组未进行胸部x线筛查。欧洲一些规模较小的RCT试验也将非筛查组与LDCT组进行了比较。
这些规模较小的试验不足以将死亡率作为终点事件进行评估,但是人们正在努力将这些研究结果与NELSON数据结合起来,一旦数据整理完善就能实现。这些研究也可以用于评估其与NLST研究结果的一致性。除了收集正在进行的试验数据外,人们正在分析NLST的数据来评价肺癌筛查中其他的重要问题,包括成本效益,生活质量,以及筛查是否适合那些比NLST招募年龄小和那些吸烟少于30包年的人群。来自美国前列腺癌、肺癌、结直肠癌和卵巢癌(PLCO)癌症筛查试验的数据表明,在不进行筛查的情况下,与曾经吸烟且戒烟不足15年和吸烟超过30包年的吸烟者相比,吸烟史为20至29包年的吸烟者肺癌死亡风险无差别(风险比为1.07;CI为0.75-1.5)。虽然曾经吸烟组的风险与现在吸烟组(美国预防医学工作组推荐LDCT筛查)的风险无差别,但在曾经吸烟人群中进行筛查的有效性尚不清楚。
与普通人群相比,肺癌筛查的目标人群中吸烟者的比率较高。肺癌筛查项目可能对戒烟产生影响,理论上可以促进那些筛查出肺部异常的人戒烟。相反地,筛查也可能阻碍了那些在筛查中没有发现肺部异常的人戒烟。丹麦肺癌筛查试验是一项随机试验,比较了LDCT和那些年龄在50至70岁且吸烟史至少20包年未进行干预的人群。
在5年的随访中,每年均监测受试者中戒烟者的比例,从基线(CT组和对照组中均有23%为当前吸烟者)到随访5年时(两组中均有43%为当前吸烟者),两组中比例几乎保持相同。对这两个随机组的比较表明CT筛查对戒烟没有影响。
另一份报告使用了NLST的数据,来说明筛查结果是否影响戒烟可能性的问题。
NLST将CT与胸部X光进行了比较,并合并了两组的数据,探讨异常结果对戒烟可能性的影响。筛查结果为可疑肺癌(但不是肺癌)的吸烟者在一年后戒烟的可能性比筛查未发现异常的吸烟者高很多。在那些有严重肺部异常但并不怀疑肺癌,或仅有轻微肺部异常者中,戒烟的相关性较弱,且不具有统计学意义。
第三项研究是来自英国的LDCT肺癌筛查试验,研究表明,筛查增加了短期和长期戒烟的可能性,且有统计学意义,并且在初次筛查结果呈阳性者中效果最显著,需要进一步的临床研究。
这些研究结果表明,CT检查对戒烟的影响并不相同,
但是,筛查发现疑似肺癌的吸烟者,戒烟的可能性更高。
这是一项需要进一步明确的重要研究。
肺癌筛查的问题可追溯到上世纪五十年代,当时肺癌发病率和死亡率呈现不断上升趋势,需要对其进行干预。为了应对新出现的肺癌问题,在1950年代和1960年代进行了五项胸部影像研究,其中两项是对照研究。
两项研究都包括痰细胞学检查。
尽管由于设计的局限性使研究无法提供确切的证据,但这些研究结果表明,筛查没有带来整体获益。
在上世纪七十年代早期,美国国立癌症研究所资助了早期肺癌检测合作计划,
其目的是评估通过胸部影像和痰细胞学检查降低男性吸烟者肺癌死亡率的可能性。该项目包括三个独立的RCT试验,每个试验均纳入了大约1万名年龄为45岁及以上且在前一年每天至少吸一包烟的男性受试者。一项研究在梅奥诊所进行,
一项在约翰霍普金斯大学进行,
还有一项在斯隆-凯特琳癌症中心进行。
约翰霍普金斯大学和斯隆-凯特琳癌症中心的两项研究采用了相同的设计:随机分配到干预组的人每4个月接受一次痰细胞学检查并每年进行一次胸部影像,而随机分配到对照组的人每年进行一次胸部影像。两项研究均未发现筛查可以降低肺癌死亡率。
这两项研究表明,将频繁的痰细胞学检查加入到每年的胸部X光检查方案中,没有任何获益。
梅奥临床研究(称为梅奥肺项目,或MLP)的设计不同。所有受试者均接受了胸部影像学和痰细胞学筛查,并排除了那些已知或怀疑患有肺癌的人,以及健康状况不佳的人。其余的受试者随机分配到干预组(每4个月接受胸部影像和痰细胞学检查,持续6年)或对照组(在试验开始时一次性接受每年接受相同检查的建议)。 结果肺癌死亡率并未降低。1970年代,MLP表明,采用胸部X光和痰细胞学检查的筛查方案没有任何获益。
上世纪七十年代,在欧洲开展了一项采用胸部影像筛查肺癌的RCT试验。捷克斯洛伐克的这项研究首先对6364名年龄在40至64岁之间的男性进行了患病情况调查(胸部影像和痰细胞学检查),这些男性是当前吸烟者,且一生至少消费15万支香烟。
除去18例在患病情况调查时诊断为肺癌的受试者,其余所有受试者随机分配到两组:干预组,每半年进行一次筛查,持续3年;对照组,仅在第三年进行筛查。结果发现干预组有19例肺癌死亡,对照组13例,并得出频繁筛查没有必要的结论。
到1990年,医学界仍然不能确定胸部影像筛查(采用传统的胸部X光检查)与肺癌死亡率间的关系。尽管之前的研究没有显示出任何获益,但由于缺乏统计效力,研究结果尚不确定。PLCO癌症筛查试验是一项具有充分统计效力的多阶段试验,
该研究始于1992年。PLCO招募了154,901名年龄在55至74岁之间的受试者,包括女性(50%)和从不吸烟的人(45%)。其中一半随机分到筛查组进行筛查,另一半接受常规医疗检查。如果肺癌死亡率降低20%,PLCO有90%把握度的统计效力可以检测到。
PLCO中的肺部筛查提出了一个问题,即与常规医疗检查相比,每年一次的单窗(前后位)胸部X光是否可以降低肺癌死亡率。当研究开始时,所有随机分配到筛查组的受试者均接受基线检查和三次年度胸部X光检查,尽管方案最终改为对从不吸烟者仅进行三次筛查。在13年的随访中,干预组观察到1,213例肺癌死亡,而常规检查组观察到1,230例肺癌死亡(死亡率相对风险,0.99;95%CI,0.87-1.22)。分层分析表明,性别和吸烟状况对结果没有影响。
鉴于大量的一致性证据,与PLCO试验中观察到缺乏获益的结果一致,可以得出结论:不论性别或吸烟状况,用胸部X线检查和/或痰细胞学检查进行肺癌筛查并不能降低肺癌死亡率。
Lung cancer is the third most common form of noncutaneous cancer in the United States and is the leading cause of cancer death in men and in women. In 2019 alone, it is estimated that 116,440 men and 111,710 women will be diagnosed with lung cancer, and 76,650 men and 66,020 women will die of this disease. The lung cancer death rate rose rapidly over several decades in both sexes, with a persistent decline for men commencing in 1991. From 2011 to 2015, death rates decreased by about 3% per year in men and by 1.5% per year in women.
The most important risk factor for lung cancer (as for many other cancers) is tobacco use.
Cigarette smoking has been definitively established by epidemiologic and preclinical animal experimental data as the primary cause of lung cancer. This causative link has been widely recognized since the 1960s, when national reports in Great Britain and the United States brought the cancer risk of smoking prominently to the public’s attention.
The percentages of lung cancers estimated to be caused by tobacco smoking in males and females are 90% and 78%, respectively.
For a complete description of factors associated with an increased or decreased risk of lung cancer, refer to the PDQ summary on Lung Cancer Prevention for more information.
There have been intensive efforts to improve lung cancer screening with newer technologies, including low-dose helical computed tomography (LDCT).
LDCT was shown to be more sensitive than chest radiography. In the Early Lung Cancer Action Project (ELCAP),
LDCT detected almost six times as many stage I lung cancers as chest radiography, and most of these tumors were no larger than 1 cm in diameter.
A systematic analysis
summarized 13 observational studies of LDCT undertaken between 1993 and 2004 and that included 60 to 5,201 participants. Some Japanese studies included nonsmokers, but the others were limited to current and former smokers. Variability in detection of nodules—between 3% and 51%—may be attributed to several factors:
Overall, lung cancer was diagnosed in 1.1% to 4.7% of screened participants; most of these diagnoses were early-stage disease.
With completion of the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST), there is now evidence that screening with LDCT can reduce lung cancer mortality risk in ever-smokers who have smoked 30 pack-years or more and in former smokers who have quit within the past 15 years. The NLST included 33 centers across the United States. Eligible participants were between the ages of 55 years and 74 years at randomization, had a history of at least 30 pack-years of cigarette smoking, and, if former smokers, had quit within the past 15 years. A total of 53,454 persons were enrolled; 26,722 persons were randomly assigned to receive screening with LDCT, and 26,732 persons were randomly assigned to receive screening with chest x-ray. Any noncalcified nodule found on LDCT that measured at least 4 mm in any diameter and any noncalcified nodule or mass identified on x-ray images were classified as positive. Radiologists, however, had the option of calling a final screen negative if a noncalcified nodule had been stable on the three screening exams. The LDCT group had a substantially higher rate of positive screening tests than did the radiography group (round 1, 27.3% vs. 9.2%; round 2, 27.9% vs. 6.2%; and round 3, 16.8% vs. 5.0%). Overall, 39.1% of participants in the LDCT group and 16.0% in the radiography group had at least one positive screening result. Of those who screened positive, the false-positive rate was 96.4% in the LDCT group and 94.5% in the chest radiography group. This was consistent across all three rounds.
A review of two surrogate markers of benefit from the LDCT for lung cancer screening determined that there is no discernible relationship between the proportion of stage I lung cancers or lung cancer-specific survival for stage I disease and lung cancer mortality benefit at 4 years.
In the LDCT group, 649 cancers were diagnosed after a positive screening test, 44 after a negative screening test, and 367 among participants who either missed the screening or received the diagnosis after the completion of the screening phase. In the radiography group, 279 cancers were diagnosed after a positive screening test, 137 after a negative screening test, and 525 among participants who either missed the screening or received the diagnosis after the completion of the screening phase. Three hundred fifty-six deaths from lung cancer occurred in the LDCT group, and 443 deaths from lung cancer occurred in the chest x-ray group, with a relative reduction in the rate of death from lung cancer of 20% (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.8%–26.7%) with LDCT screening.
An updated analysis showed that the estimated reduction in lung cancer mortality was 16% (95% CI, 5%–25%).
Overall, mortality was reduced by 6.7% (95% CI, 1.2%–13.6%). The number needed to screen with LDCT to prevent one death from lung cancer was 320.
Since the publication of the results of the NLST, more has been learned about who may benefit the most from screening for lung cancer using LDCT.
One group of investigators developed an individual risk model to assess who might benefit from screening. The model used additional factors not used as inclusion criteria in the NLST, such as a history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, personal or family history of lung cancer and a more detailed smoking history. More persons would have been eligible to be screened using the trial's criteria as opposed to the inclusion criteria of the NLST without missing patients with cancer.
A second group performed a reanalysis of the NLST data and calculated each patient’s risk of developing lung cancer and estimated each patient's lung cancer mortality.
The investigators then divided the NLST participants into five groups on the basis of risk. The number needed to screen to avoid a lung cancer death in the low-risk group was 5,276; 161 screens were needed in the high-risk group to avoid a lung cancer death. Further, the number of false-positive screens decreased from 1,648 in the lowest quintile of risk to 65 in the highest risk group. The three highest quintiles of risk accounted for 88% of the mortality reduction from screening, whereas the lowest quintile accounted for only a 1% reduction in mortality. These studies illustrate possible improvements for determining the population of patients who may benefit the most from screening, potentially reducing the number of false positives, and reducing the potential harm related to the adverse events associated with their evaluation. One other benefit of calculating individual risk is the ability to incorporate the findings into a shared decision-making process so that patients can decide whether to undergo screening.
However, a recent comparison of ten models used for predicting lung cancer or lung cancer mortality risk found that four of the models were well calibrated with reasonable discrimination, but none of these models were considered superior to the others for the use of identifying lung cancer risk among individuals who had ever smoked. Additional work is needed to address modeling weaknesses.
Other randomized clinical trials (RCTs) of LDCT are under way or are already completed in a number of countries.
The largest is the Dutch-Belgian Randomized Lung Cancer Screening Trial (or NELSON trial).
This study differs from the NLST in that the control group does not have chest radiographic screening. Other smaller trials in Europe also compare a nonscreening arm with LDCT.
These smaller trials are largely not powered to assess mortality as an endpoint, but there is an effort under way to combine the findings from these studies with the NELSON data, once the data are fully mature. These studies may also be able to assess consistency with the NLST findings. In addition to the data gleaned from ongoing trials, the NLST data are being analyzed to examine other important issues in lung cancer screening, including cost-effectiveness, quality of life, and whether screening would benefit individuals younger than those enrolled in the NLST and those with fewer than 30 pack-years of smoking exposure. Data from the U.S. Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer Screening Trial suggest that, in the absence of screening, the risk of lung cancer death for current smokers who have a smoking history of 20 to 29 pack-years is no different than that of former smokers who have quit within 15 years and have a smoking history of more than 30 pack-years (hazard ratio, 1.07; CI, 0.75–1.5). Although the risk for the former-smokers group is no different than that of the current-smokers group (for whom LDCT screening is recommended by the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force), the efficacy of screening is unknown in the former-smokers group.
The target population for lung cancer screening has a high prevalence of current smokers compared with the general population. A lung cancer screening program could potentially impact the likelihood of smoking cessation, theoretically promoting cessation among those screened who have lung abnormalities detected on their screen. Conversely, screening could also be a deterrent to cessation among those with no evidence of lung abnormalities on their screen. The Danish Lung Cancer Screening Trial is a randomized trial that compared LDCT with no intervention among participants aged 50 to 70 years who had at least a 20 pack-year smoking history.
The proportion of participants who had quit smoking was monitored every year for 5 years of follow-up and remained virtually identical in the two groups from baseline (CT group and control group each had 23% ex-smokers) until the 5-year follow-up (43% ex-smokers in both groups). The comparison of these two randomized groups indicates that the CT screening program had zero net effect on the likelihood of smoking cessation.
Another report used data from the NLST to address the question of whether the screening result influenced the likelihood of smoking cessation.
The NLST compared CT with chest x-ray, and data from both arms were pooled to examine the impact of abnormal findings on the likelihood of smoking cessation. Compared with those who did not have abnormal findings, current smokers who had a screening examination that was suspicious for lung cancer (but was not lung cancer) were significantly more likely to have stopped smoking 1 year later. The associations with quitting smoking among those who had a major lung abnormality, which was not suspicious for lung cancer, or a minor abnormality were weaker and not uniformly statistically significant.
A third study from the U.K. Lung Cancer Screening pilot trial of a LDCT scan found that screening was associated with a statistically significant increase in short- and long-term cessation, and this effect was greatest among those whose initial screening test was positive, warranting additional clinical investigation.
The results of these studies suggest that the net impact of a CT program on smoking cessation varied,
but there appears to be a higher likelihood of smoking cessation among current smokers who have findings suspicious for lung cancer.
This is an important research area that needs to be clarified.
The question of lung cancer screening dates back to the 1950s, when rising lung cancer incidence and mortality rates indicated a need for intervention. In response to the emerging lung cancer problem, five studies of chest imaging, two of which were controlled, were undertaken during the 1950s and 1960s.
Two studies also included sputum cytology.
The results of these studies suggested no overall benefit of screening, although design limitations prevented the studies from providing definitive evidence.
In the early 1970s, the National Cancer Institute funded the Cooperative Early Lung Cancer Detection Program,
which was designed to assess the ability of screening with radiologic chest imaging and sputum cytology to reduce lung cancer mortality in male smokers. The program comprised three separate RCTs, each enrolling about 10,000 male participants aged 45 years and older who smoked at least one pack of cigarettes a day in the previous year. One study was conducted at the Mayo Clinic,
one at Johns Hopkins University,
and one at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center.
The Hopkins and Sloan-Kettering studies employed the same design: persons randomly assigned to the intervention arm received sputum cytology every 4 months and annual chest imaging, while persons randomly assigned to the control arm received annual chest imaging. Neither study observed a reduction in lung cancer mortality with screening.
The two studies were interpreted as showing no benefit of frequent sputum cytology when added to an annual regimen of chest x-ray.
The design of the Mayo Clinic study (known as the Mayo Lung Project, or MLP), was different. All potential participants were screened with chest imaging and sputum cytology, and those known or suspected to have lung cancer, as well as those in poor health, were excluded. Remaining persons were randomly assigned to either an intervention arm that received chest imaging and sputum cytology every 4 months for 6 years, or to a control arm that received a one-time recommendation at trial entry to receive the same tests on an annual basis. No reduction in lung cancer mortality was observed. The MLP was interpreted in the 1970s as showing no benefit of an intense screening regimen with chest x-ray and sputum cytology.
One RCT of lung cancer screening with chest imaging was conducted in Europe in the 1970s. The Czechoslovakian study began with a prevalence screen (chest imaging and sputum cytology) of 6,364 males aged 40 to 64 years who were current smokers with a lifetime consumption of at least 150,000 cigarettes.
All participants except the 18 diagnosed with lung cancer as a result of the prevalence screen were randomly assigned to one of two arms: an intervention arm, which received semi-annual screening for 3 years, or a control arm, which received screening during the third year only. The investigators reported 19 lung cancer deaths in the intervention arm and 13 in the control arm, and concluded that frequent screening was not necessary.
By 1990, the medical community was still unsure about the relationship between screening with chest imaging (using traditional chest x-ray) and lung cancer mortality. Although previous studies showed no benefit, findings were not definitive because of a lack of statistical power. A multiphasic trial with ample statistical power, the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial,
began in 1992. PLCO enrolled 154,901 participants aged 55 to 74 years, including women (50%) and never smokers (45%). Half were randomly assigned to screening, and the other half were advised to receive their usual medical care. PLCO had 90% power to detect a 20% reduction in lung cancer mortality.
The lung component of PLCO addressed the question of whether annual single-view (posterior-anterior) chest x-ray was capable of reducing lung cancer mortality as compared with usual medical care. When the study began, all participants randomly assigned to screening were invited to receive a baseline and three annual chest x-ray screens, although the protocol ultimately was changed to screen never-smokers only three times. At 13 years of follow-up, 1,213 lung cancer deaths were observed in the intervention group, compared with 1,230 lung cancer deaths in the usual-care group (mortality relative risk, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.87–1.22). Sub-analyses suggested no differential effect by sex or smoking status.
Given the abundance and consistency of evidence, as well as the lack of benefit observed in the PLCO trial, it is appropriate to conclude that lung cancer screening with chest x-ray and/or sputum cytology, regardless of sex or smoking status, does not reduce lung cancer mortality.
肺癌筛查中假阳性结果的问题尤为突出。最有可能接受肺癌筛查的人,比如重度吸烟者,有合并症者(如慢性阻塞性肺病和心脏病),不太适合某些进一步的诊断性检查。
在评估低剂量螺旋CT(LDCT)筛查肺癌时,必须考虑假阳性结果。假阳性结果可能导致受试者焦虑和进行侵入性的诊断检查,如经皮穿刺活检或开胸手术。各研究的假阳性率差异较大,主要原因是对阳性结果的定义不同(大小标准),不同层面间的层厚度(厚度越小,检出结节越多)以及受试者是否居住在肉芽肿疾病高流行的地区。一项关于计算机断层扫描(CT)筛查肺癌利与弊的系统综述指出,筛查发现结节以后,常进行进一步的影像检查,在21项筛查试验中,比例在1%到近45%之间不等。2.5%到5%的患者进行了正电子发射断层扫描。
在筛查试验中非手术活检或操作比例为0.7%-4.4%。在这些活检中,检出结果为良性的比例存在显著差异(6%-79%)。筛查试验中筛查到的结节手术切除率在0.9%-5.6%之间。在接受手术的患者中,结果为良性结节的占比为6%到45%,
这是肺癌筛查的潜在危害。在国家肺癌筛查试验(NLST)中,与侵入性操作和手术相关的并发症大多发生在诊断为肺癌的患者中,发生率为14%。此外,在确诊为良性结节的患者中,并发症发生率为每10,000例发生4.1例死亡和4.5例并发症。NLST试验并发症的发生率可能不适用于社区。因为,与符合筛查条件的美国普通人群相比,NLST受试者的年龄更小,教育程度更高,当前吸烟者比例较小(因此更健康)。值得注意的是,82%受试者在大型学术医疗中心,76%受试者在美国国立癌症研究所指定的癌症中心进行试验。这或许是NLST筛查结果中并发症发生率和手术死亡率极低(1%)的原因,因此多个学会强烈建议在与NLST具有相同医疗资源的中心进行筛查。
随着肺癌筛查在现实环境中的实施,潜在的筛查危害的发生率可能会有所不同。在一项研究中,作者检测了将LDCT肺癌筛查项目引入部分美国退伍军人健康管理局(VA)医院的效果。
在另一项研究中,评估了93,000名患者是否适合接受一轮LDCT筛查: 4246名患者符合标准(根据2013年美国预防医学工作组的建议);
其中58%的患者同意接受筛查,50%的患者(n=2106)实际接受了筛查。60%的患者存在假阳性结果,56%的患者诊断为可疑结节,需要持续进行监测,3.5%的阳性结果患者进行了进一步的诊断检查。呈现了较高的假阳性结果比例(与NLST第一次筛查的27.3%相比),可能原因归因于VA项目对筛查阳性结果的定义,该定义使用了欧美肺部重症指南来处理CT检测到的结节,
NLST对阳性结节定义的临界值为4 mm。
在VA试点项目中发现的结节大多数为4mm或更小(55%)。然而,目前LDCT肺癌筛查对于结节的处理方案尚不统一,因此,随着LDCT肺癌筛查广泛实施,假阳性率可能相差很大。此外,41%的VA项目参与者被放射科医生报告有意义不明确的偶然发现,可能需要随访或进一步评估。
另一个不太常见的危害是过度诊断,这意味着如果不是通过筛查发现,该疾病的诊断将不会具有重大的临床意义。
如果患者没有被诊断为癌症,患者就会死于其他相关疾病。在LDCT筛查的情况下,过度诊断可能导致不必要的肺癌相关检查,继而需要进一步的治疗(例如肺叶切除,化疗和放疗)。尸检研究表明,相当多的人患有肺癌而死因却不是肺癌。在一项研究中,尸检发现的肺癌中,约有六分之一在死前没有被临床诊断。
这个比例可能被低估;取决于尸检的程度,许多CT可以发现的小肺癌并没有在尸检报告中记录。
日本的研究提供了更多的证据,表明LDCT筛查可能导致大量的过度诊断。
对于CT筛查肺癌相关的过度诊断等级需要进一步研究。然而,在一项研究中,用指数模型和连续CT图像对61例肺癌的体积倍增时间进行评估。病变分为以下三种类型:
G型、GS型和S型的平均倍增时间分别为813天,457天和149天。在这项研究中,每年的CT筛查发现了大量在胸部X线上看不到的缓慢生长的腺癌,提示过度诊断。
在一项有5000多人参加的筛查试验中,评估了被认为是过度诊断的癌症的比例。体积倍增时间用作过度诊断的替代指标。手术切除前计算体积倍增时间超过400天的患者被认为是过度诊断。
研究者发现,最终确诊为肺癌的患者中,有25%符合筛查发现惰性结节标准,提示该试验中,四分之一的癌症属于过度诊断。
在乳腺癌中也有类似的过度诊断率。这一比率与之前的胸片筛查研究和其他实体瘤的结果一致。NLST的数据显示,与胸片组相比,LDCT组多诊断约120例肺癌病例。这表明尽管仍需长期随访,但18%筛查出的肺癌属于过度诊断,
在丹麦肺癌筛查试验中观察到LDCT筛查过度诊断的更多证据。在10年的随访中(上次筛查后5年),筛查组的肺癌诊断人数几乎是对照组的两倍(分别为每1,000人年5.1例和2.7例,或4,104例总受试者中100例和53例肺癌); 大多数肺癌患者为早期腺癌,两组的III期和IV期患者差异无统计学意义。
过度诊断率约为67%。
梅奥肺项目(MLP)队列约20年的随访结果表明,通过胸部X光和痰细胞学检查方案确诊的肺癌中,有17%属于过度诊断;
干预组确诊的肺癌患者为585例,而常规检查组为500例。在对前列腺、肺、结直肠和卵巢(PLCO)队列进行了13年的随访后,干预组确诊的肺癌患者为1,696例,而常规检查组为1,620例。
这表明,每年通过胸部X光检查诊断的307例癌症患者中,约有25%属于过度诊断。
在PLCO中,
至少有一次筛查结果为阳性的受试者中, 0.4%进行了进一步诊断且存在与诊断检查相关的并发症。这69例并发症患者中最常见的是气胸(29%)、肺不张(15%)和感染(10%)。
一项基于社区的回顾性队列研究,间接估计了通过肺癌筛查发现肺部异常而进行侵入性诊断检查的并发症率和后续医疗费用。并发症发生率分别为23%(55-64岁)和23.8%(65-77岁),是NLST报道(8.5%-9.8%)的两倍以上。平均费用从6,320美元到56,845美元不等,这表明,NLST是在对照临床试验背景下进行的,可能低估了在社区环境下发生不良事件和高额后续费用的可能性。尽管研究存在局限性,包括缺少患者是否适合肺癌筛查的信息,以及患者健康状况较差和医疗质量较低对并发症的影响程度,但这些结果强调了对风险、获益和共同决策进行讨论的必要性。
MLP研究结果提示,采用X射线和痰细胞学检查加强方案进行筛查可能会增加肺癌死亡率。
20年随访结束时,肺癌死亡率在干预组为每1000例死亡4.4例,在常规检查组为每1000例死亡3.9例。两组间差异无统计学意义(P=0.09)。在霍普金斯大学和斯隆-凯特琳癌症中心的两项研究的干预组(相对危险度[RR],0.88;95%可信区间[CI],0.74-1.05)和PLCO(RR,0.99;95%可信区间,0.87-1.22)均未发现风险增加。
LDCT筛查的另一个潜在风险是辐射暴露。LDCT的平均辐射剂量很低,为1.5mSv。据估计,在3年的筛查期间,NLST参与者平均暴露剂量为8 mSv(这包括筛查辐射和筛查发现结节后进一步的影像检查)。根据之前建立的辐射暴露和癌症关系的模型表明,在那些参加像NLST筛查项目的人群中,每2500次筛查可能会有一例死亡,尽管筛查的获益(每320次筛查避免1例死亡)远远大于风险。较年轻的和那些没有患肺癌风险的人群更有可能因筛查患上辐射诱发的肺癌,而不是免于肺癌死亡。
除上述报道外,尚未发现关于痰细胞学检查或痰细胞学检查和胸部X线联合方案危害的报道。
在PLCO癌症筛查试验中,假阳性率(在所有肺癌筛查阳性患者中)为98%。
在考虑吸烟状况时,假阳性率(在所有阳性筛查患者中)在从不吸烟者中最高(>99%),在当前吸烟者中最低(95%)。在调整吸烟因素后,假阳性筛查的百分比没有性别差异。
False-positive exams are particularly problematic in the context of lung cancer screening. Persons most likely to be screened for lung cancer, i.e., heavy smokers, have comorbidities (such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and heart disease) that make them poor candidates for certain diagnostic procedures.
False-positive test results must be considered when lung cancer screening with low-dose helical computed tomography (LDCT) is being evaluated. A false-positive test may lead to anxiety and invasive diagnostic procedures, such as percutaneous needle biopsy or thoracotomy. The percentage of false-positive findings varies substantially among studies and is primarily attributable to differences in how a positive scan is defined (the size criteria), the thickness of the slice used between cuts (smaller slice thicknesses lead to detection of more nodules) and whether the subject resides in a geographic location where granulomatous disease is highly prevalent. A systematic review of the benefits and harms of computed tomography (CT) screening for lung cancer reported that the follow-up of a screen-detected nodule most often included further imaging, which varied among 21 screening trials between 1% and nearly 45%. Positron emission tomography scanning was performed in 2.5% to 5% of patients.
The frequency of nonsurgical biopsies or procedures in screening trials ranges from 0.7% to 4.4%. Of those biopsied, there was marked variation in the finding of a benign result (6%–79%). The rate of surgical resection for screen detected nodules in screening trials is between 0.9% and 5.6%. Of patients who underwent surgery, between 6% and 45% had a benign nodule discovered during surgery,
a potential harm of lung cancer screening. In the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST), most major complications related to invasive procedures and surgeries occurred in patients diagnosed with lung cancer, with a major complication rate of 14%. Additionally, a complication rate of 4.1 deaths and 4.5 complications per 10,000 diagnostic events can be expected in patients determined to have a benign nodule. The rates of complications from the NLST may not be generalizable to a community setting; participants in the NLST were younger, better educated, and less likely to be current smokers (therefore healthier) than the population of smokers and former smokers in the general U.S. population who would be eligible for screening. Of note, 82% of the participants were enrolled at large academic medical centers, and 76% of the enrollees were seen at National Cancer Institute–designated cancer centers. This may account for the extremely low complication rate and surgical mortality (1%) found in the NLST that led the multisociety position paper to strongly recommend that screening be carried out at centers with the same patient-management resources as those in the NLST.
The rates of potential screening harms can vary as lung cancer screening is implemented in a real-world setting. In one study, the authors examined the effects of introducing a LDCT lung cancer screening program into selected Veterans Health Administration (VA) hospitals across the United States.
In another study, 93,000 patients were assessed for eligibility to receive one round of LDCT screening: 4,246 patients met the criteria (as per the 2013 U.S. Preventive Service Task Force recommendations);
of those eligible, 58% of patients agreed to be screened, and 50% of patients (n = 2,106) actually underwent screening. Sixty percent of patients had a false-positive test, 56% of patients had a suspicious nodule that required ongoing monitoring, and 3.5% of patients underwent diagnostic evaluation for a positive screen. The high rate of false-positive tests (compared with 27.3% of patients in the NLST for a first screen) may be attributed to the VA program’s definition of a positive screen, which used Fleischer Society guidelines for management of CT-detected nodules,
whereas the NLST had an absolute cut-off value of 4 mm to define a positive nodule.
Most nodules detected in the VA pilot program were 4 mm or less (55%). However, there is currently no uniformly accepted protocol for nodule management in LDCT lung cancer screening, so wide rates of variability in false-positive results could be likely with broad implementation. Additionally, 41% of participants in the VA program had incidental findings of unclear significance that were reported by the reading radiologist to likely require follow-up or further evaluation.
A less familiar harm is overdiagnosis, which means the diagnosis of a condition that would not have become clinically significant had it not been detected by screening.
Had the patient not been diagnosed with cancer, the patient would have died of other competing comorbidities. In the case of screening with LDCT, overdiagnosis could lead to unnecessary diagnosis of lung cancer requiring some combination of therapy (e.g., lobectomy, chemotherapy, and radiation therapy). Autopsy studies suggest that a significant number of individuals die with lung cancer rather than from it. In one study, about one-sixth of all lung cancers found at autopsy had not been clinically recognized before death.
This may be an underestimate; depending on the extent of the autopsy, many small lung cancers that are detectable by CT may go unrecorded in an autopsy record.
Studies in Japan provide additional evidence that screening with LDCT could lead to a substantial amount of overdiagnosis.
Studies are needed to establish the level of overdiagnosis that might be associated with CT screening for lung cancer. However, in one study, the volume-doubling times of 61 lung cancers were estimated using an exponential model and successive CT images. Lesions were classified into three of the following types:
The mean-doubling times were 813 days, 457 days, and 149 days for types G, GS, and S, respectively. In this study, annual CT screening identified a large number of slowly growing adenocarcinomas that were not visible on chest x-ray, suggesting overdiagnosis.
In a screening trial with more than 5,000 participants, the proportion of cancers that would be considered overdiagnoses was evaluated. Volume-doubling time was used as a surrogate for overdiagnosis. Patients with a calculated volume-doubling time of more than 400 days before surgical resection were considered to have an overdiagnosed cancer.
The investigators discovered that 25% of those ultimately diagnosed with lung cancer met the criteria of an indolent screen-detected nodule, suggesting that one in four cancers in that trial were overdiagnosed.
Similar rates of overdiagnosis have been documented in breast cancer. This rate is consistent with previous chest radiograph screening studies and for other solid tumors. Data from the NLST showed a persistent gap of about 120 excess lung cancer cases in the LDCT group compared with the chest radiograph group. This suggests that 18% of screen-detected lung cancers were overdiagnosed, although long-term follow-up is needed.
Additional evidence of overdiagnosis with LDCT screening was observed in the randomized Danish Lung Cancer Screening Trial. At 10 years of follow-up (5 years after the last screening exam), almost twice as many lung cancers had been diagnosed in the screening group than in the control group (5.1 vs. 2.7 cases per 1,000 person-years or 100 vs. 53 lung cancer cases in 4,104 total participants, respectively); most of the lung cancers were early stage adenocarcinomas, with no statistically significant difference in the number of stage III and IV cancers between the two groups.
Overdiagnosis was estimated at 67%.
About 20 years of follow-up of the Mayo Lung Project (MLP) cohort indicates that 17% of lung cancers diagnosed as the result of an intense regimen of chest x-ray and sputum cytology are overdiagnosed;
585 lung cancers had been diagnosed in the intervention arm as compared with 500 in the usual-care arm. After 13 years of follow-up of the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian (PLCO) cohort, 1,696 lung cancers had been diagnosed in the intervention arm as compared with 1,620 lung cancers in the usual-care arm.
This suggests that about 25% of the 307 cancers diagnosed as the result of annual chest x-ray were overdiagnosed.
In the PLCO,
0.4% of participants with at least one positive screen who had a diagnostic evaluation had a complication associated with a diagnostic procedure. The most common of the 69 complications were pneumothorax (29%), atelectasis (15%), and infection (10%).
A retrospective cohort study of community practices indirectly estimated the complication rates and downstream medical costs of invasive diagnostic procedures performed for lung abnormalities that were identified through lung cancer screening. The complications rates of 23% (aged 55–64 years) and 23.8% (aged 65–77 years) were more than twice that reported in the NLST (8.5%–9.8%). The mean costs ranged from $6,320 to $56,845, suggesting that the NLST, which was conducted in the context of a controlled clinical trial, may have underestimated the potential for adverse events and high downstream costs in the community setting. Despite study limitations, including the lack of information about patient eligibility for lung cancer screening and the extent to which complications were affected by poorer patient health and lower quality of care, these results reinforce the need for discussion of risks, benefits, and shared decision making.
Findings from the MLP hinted at the possibility of an increase in lung cancer mortality for persons screened with an intense regimen of chest x-ray and sputum cytology.
At the end of 20 years of follow-up, the lung cancer mortality rate was 4.4 cases per 1,000 deaths in the intervention arm and 3.9 cases per 1,000 deaths in the usual-care arm. The two rates were not statistically different from one another (P = .09). No increase in risk was seen in the intervention arms of the John Hopkins University and Memorial Sloan-Kettering studies (relative risk [RR], 0.88; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.74–1.05), and the PLCO (RR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.87–1.22).
Another potential risk from screening with LDCT is radiation exposure. The average exposure is very low for an LDCT at 1.5 mSv. It is estimated that over a 3-year period of screening, NLST participants have been exposed to an average of 8 mSv of radiation (which accounts for radiation from screens and additional imaging for screen-detected nodules). Modeling from previous work on radiation exposure and the development of cancer suggests that there could be one death per 2,500 screens in those participating in a screening program such as the NLST, although the benefit of screening (1 death avoided per 320 screens) far outweighs the risk. Younger persons and those without a significant risk of lung cancer may be more likely to suffer a radiation-induced lung cancer from screening than to be spared a lung cancer death.
Unless reported above, data on harms associated with sputum cytology or a combined regimen of sputum cytology and chest x-ray have not been published.
In the PLCO Cancer Screening Trial, the percentage of false positive screens (among all positive lung cancer screens) was 98%.
When smoking status was considered, the percentage of false-positive screens (among all positive screens) was highest in never-smokers (>99%) and lowest in current smokers (95%). After adjustment for smoking, the percentage of false-positive screens did not differ by sex.
PDQ癌症信息会定期进行评估并随着新信息的出现进行更新。 本节描述了截至上述日期对该总结所做的最新更改。
补充文字说明:对LDCT肺癌筛查的两个替代性指标的总结表明,I期肺癌比例或I期肺癌特异性生存率与4年肺癌死亡率之间没有明显的关系(引用Woo等人研究,参考文献8)。
补充文字说明:然而,最近通过对十个用于预测肺癌发生或肺癌死亡风险的模型比较后发现,其中四个模型在合理分类上有良好效度,但在识别曾经吸烟者患肺癌的风险时,这些模型均不优于其他模型。还需要做更多的工作来解决模型的不足。(引用Katki等人研究,参考文献13)。
增加Pastorino等人研究,参考文献20。
补充文字说明:一项基于社区的回顾性队列研究,间接估计了通过肺癌筛查发现肺部异常而进行侵入性诊断检查的并发症率和后续医疗费用。尽管研究存在局限性,包括缺少患者是否适合肺癌筛查的信息,以及患者健康状况较差和医疗质量较低对并发症的影响程度,但这些结果强调了对风险、获益和共同决策进行讨论的必要性。(引用Huo等人研究,参考文献17)。
该总结由PDQ筛查和预防编辑委员会撰写和维护,该委员会独立于NCI进行编辑工作。该总结反映了委员会对文献独立的汇总,并不代表NCI或NIH的政策声明。有关总结政策以及PDQ编辑委员会在维护PDQ总结中作用的更多信息,请参见“关于本PDQ总结”和PDQ®-NCI的综合癌症数据库页面。
The PDQ cancer information summaries are reviewed regularly and updated as new information becomes available. This section describes the latest changes made to this summary as of the date above.
Added text to state that a review of two surrogate markers of benefit from the low-dose helical computed tomography for lung cancer screening determined that there is no discernible relationship between the proportion of stage I lung cancers or lung cancer-specific survival for stage I disease and lung cancer mortality benefit at 4 years (cited Woo et al. as reference 8).
Added text to state that a recent comparison of ten models used for predicting lung cancer or lung cancer mortality risk found that four of the models were well calibrated with reasonable discrimination, but none of these models were considered superior to the others for the use of identifying lung cancer risk among individuals who had ever smoked; additional work is needed to address modeling weaknesses (cited Katki et al. as reference 13).
Added Pastorino et al. as reference 20.
Added text about a retrospective cohort study of community practices, which indirectly estimated the complication rates and downstream medical costs of invasive diagnostic procedures performed for lung abnormalities that were identified through lung cancer screening; despite study limitations, including the lack of information about patient eligibility for lung cancer screening and the extent to which complications were affected by poorer patient health and lower quality of care, these results reinforce the need for discussion of risks, benefits, and shared decision making (cited Huo et al. as reference 17).
This summary is written and maintained by the PDQ Screening and Prevention Editorial Board, which is editorially independent of NCI. The summary reflects an independent review of the literature and does not represent a policy statement of NCI or NIH. More information about summary policies and the role of the PDQ Editorial Boards in maintaining the PDQ summaries can be found on the About This PDQ Summary and PDQ® - NCI's Comprehensive Cancer Database pages.
This PDQ cancer information summary for health professionals provides comprehensive, peer-reviewed, evidence-based information about lung cancer screening. It is intended as a resource to inform and assist clinicians who care for cancer patients. It does not provide formal guidelines or recommendations for making health care decisions.
This summary is reviewed regularly and updated as necessary by the PDQ Screening and Prevention Editorial Board, which is editorially independent of the National Cancer Institute (NCI). The summary reflects an independent review of the literature and does not represent a policy statement of NCI or the National Institutes of Health (NIH).
Board members review recently published articles each month to determine whether an article should:
Changes to the summaries are made through a consensus process in which Board members evaluate the strength of the evidence in the published articles and determine how the article should be included in the summary.
Any comments or questions about the summary content should be submitted to Cancer.gov through the NCI website's Email Us. Do not contact the individual Board Members with questions or comments about the summaries. Board members will not respond to individual inquiries.
Some of the reference citations in this summary are accompanied by a level-of-evidence designation. These designations are intended to help readers assess the strength of the evidence supporting the use of specific interventions or approaches. The PDQ Screening and Prevention Editorial Board uses a formal evidence ranking system in developing its level-of-evidence designations.
PDQ is a registered trademark. Although the content of PDQ documents can be used freely as text, it cannot be identified as an NCI PDQ cancer information summary unless it is presented in its entirety and is regularly updated. However, an author would be permitted to write a sentence such as “NCI’s PDQ cancer information summary about breast cancer prevention states the risks succinctly: [include excerpt from the summary].”
The preferred citation for this PDQ summary is:
PDQ® Screening and Prevention Editorial Board. PDQ Lung Cancer Screening. Bethesda, MD: National Cancer Institute. Updated
Images in this summary are used with permission of the author(s), artist, and/or publisher for use within the PDQ summaries only. Permission to use images outside the context of PDQ information must be obtained from the owner(s) and cannot be granted by the National Cancer Institute. Information about using the illustrations in this summary, along with many other cancer-related images, is available in Visuals Online, a collection of over 2,000 scientific images.
The information in these summaries should not be used as a basis for insurance reimbursement determinations. More information on insurance coverage is available on Cancer.gov on the Managing Cancer Care page.
More information about contacting us or receiving help with the Cancer.gov website can be found on our Contact Us for Help page. Questions can also be submitted to Cancer.gov through the website’s Email Us.
This PDQ cancer information summary for health professionals provides comprehensive, peer-reviewed, evidence-based information about lung cancer screening. It is intended as a resource to inform and assist clinicians who care for cancer patients. It does not provide formal guidelines or recommendations for making health care decisions.
This summary is reviewed regularly and updated as necessary by the PDQ Screening and Prevention Editorial Board, which is editorially independent of the National Cancer Institute (NCI). The summary reflects an independent review of the literature and does not represent a policy statement of NCI or the National Institutes of Health (NIH).
Board members review recently published articles each month to determine whether an article should:
Changes to the summaries are made through a consensus process in which Board members evaluate the strength of the evidence in the published articles and determine how the article should be included in the summary.
Any comments or questions about the summary content should be submitted to Cancer.gov through the NCI website's Email Us. Do not contact the individual Board Members with questions or comments about the summaries. Board members will not respond to individual inquiries.
Some of the reference citations in this summary are accompanied by a level-of-evidence designation. These designations are intended to help readers assess the strength of the evidence supporting the use of specific interventions or approaches. The PDQ Screening and Prevention Editorial Board uses a formal evidence ranking system in developing its level-of-evidence designations.
PDQ is a registered trademark. Although the content of PDQ documents can be used freely as text, it cannot be identified as an NCI PDQ cancer information summary unless it is presented in its entirety and is regularly updated. However, an author would be permitted to write a sentence such as “NCI’s PDQ cancer information summary about breast cancer prevention states the risks succinctly: [include excerpt from the summary].”
The preferred citation for this PDQ summary is:
PDQ® Screening and Prevention Editorial Board. PDQ Lung Cancer Screening. Bethesda, MD: National Cancer Institute. Updated
Images in this summary are used with permission of the author(s), artist, and/or publisher for use within the PDQ summaries only. Permission to use images outside the context of PDQ information must be obtained from the owner(s) and cannot be granted by the National Cancer Institute. Information about using the illustrations in this summary, along with many other cancer-related images, is available in Visuals Online, a collection of over 2,000 scientific images.
The information in these summaries should not be used as a basis for insurance reimbursement determinations. More information on insurance coverage is available on Cancer.gov on the Managing Cancer Care page.
More information about contacting us or receiving help with the Cancer.gov website can be found on our Contact Us for Help page. Questions can also be submitted to Cancer.gov through the website’s Email Us.